China’s Ethylene and Polyethylene Market

The essential building block, ethylene, along with its co-products and derivatives constitute approximately 30% of the global chemical value chain. Ethylene cost curve has been historically impacted by the oil price where high price supports high margins but low oil price results in a flattened cost curve and a complex and competitive global market environment. Polyethylene is used in a wide range of applications including packaging, automotive, construction, footwear, and others and is suitable for multiple processing methods such as blow molding, injection molding, rotomolding, and extrusion. China has historically been a major driver of global PE demand. In 2015, as illustrated by the figure below, China was a significant importer of PE, while North America and the Middle East and Africa were net exporters. China has added significant ethylene and polyethylene capacity since and we expect global ethylene capacity additions to be driven by China by 2025. Polyethylene imports are also expected to fall, supported by local capacity additions. Exhibit below shows global PE net trade by region in 2015.

Exhibit 1. Global PE net trade by region in 2015 in million tons

 

China’s Ethylene and Polyethylene Market Assessment

ADI Chemical Market Resources (ADI CMR) has conducted a strategic analysis that covers all major developments in this market, including a comprehensive analysis of supply-demand balance, status of technology availability, and supplier analysis. The report is based on thorough analysis of the industry through a wide range of methods, including published information, patent searches, ADI CMR proprietary projects, and interviews with leading players including ethylene and PE producers as well as end-users. Robust predictive models were created to forecast market size and attractiveness based on input from experts and experienced ADI CMR analysts. The report will particularly benefit global PE producers, global integrated producers, and PE import and export service providers as well as individual end-users, entrepreneurs, and organizations attempting to understand these complex issues and capture future growth in the marketplace.

 

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